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BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$236.5kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $638.0kWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$236.5kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $165.0k
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$12.53M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$164.4k
Last 30 days +$803 · $47.06M volume · 4,601 trades · since Feb 26, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$164.4k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
98 closed
Wallet age · markets
240d
98 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $109.3k100% 55d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $246.2k100% 86d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $600.7k
3.0× usual
100% 93d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $372.3k100% 128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $159.4k100% 129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ $20.1k91% 131d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $357.8k100% 145d agoexcluded
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $546.3k
2.7× usual
100% 165d agoexcluded
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $959.4k
4.8× usual
100% 174d agoexcluded
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $39.9k100% 174d agoexcluded
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $140.0k100% 174d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $100.0k100% 178d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $1.79M
9.0× usual
100% 180d agoexcluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $406.3k
2.0× usual
100% 188d agoexcluded
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $99.7k100% 191d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ $180.4k99% 198d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $199.6k0% 198d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $397.6k99% 198d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?MED SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $499.0k
2.5× usual
0% 198d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $946.5k
4.7× usual
100% 201d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $1.41M
7.1× usual
100% 205d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $199.8k100% 207d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $20.3k100% 209d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $500.0k
2.5× usual
99% 211d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $48.9k98% 218d agoexcluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $55.4k100% 233d agoexcluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $168.5k100% 234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $399.6k
2.0× usual
100% 234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $208.9k100% 234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $103.7k100% 235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ $35.1k98% 237d agoexcluded
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ $19.8k99% 237d agoexcluded
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k100% 237d agoexcluded
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $24.9k100% 237d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $222.0k100% 238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $551.4k
2.8× usual
100% 238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $291.8k100% 239d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$109.3k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 55d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$246.2k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 86d ago
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$600.7k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 93d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$372.3k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 128d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$159.4k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 129d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 91¢$20.1k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 131d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$357.8k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 145d ago
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$546.3k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 165d ago
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$959.4k
MED BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 174d ago
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$39.9k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 174d ago
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$140.0k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 174d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$100.0k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 178d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$1.79M
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 180d ago
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$406.3k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 188d ago
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.7k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 191d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.2¢$180.4k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 198d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$199.6k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 198d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$397.6k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 198d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$499.0k
MED BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 198d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$946.5k
MED BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 201d ago
US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$1.41M
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 205d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$199.8k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 207d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$20.3k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 209d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$500.0k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 211d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 97.8¢$48.9k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 218d ago
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$55.4k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 233d ago
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$168.5k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 234d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$399.6k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 234d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$208.9k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 234d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$103.7k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 235d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.5¢$35.1k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 237d ago
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.1¢$19.8k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 237d ago
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$99.9k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 237d ago
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$24.9k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 237d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$222.0k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 238d ago
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$551.4k
MED BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 238d ago
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$291.8k
LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 239d ago

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