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What this means. A wallet put $20.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
$20.3k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 20,397 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb took No (buy) for $20.3k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.5¢
Implied odds
99.5%
Size
$20.3k
Placed
Mar 28, 15:24 EDT
Market close
Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb
Tx
0xeacfccdb…

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
No price · entry 99.5¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.5¢ · $20.3k WHALE $20.3K @ 99.5¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
2.1× usual
0% alliswell206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.0k0% Aeglos206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% frostnovae206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% abuzzin206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.4k
2.8× usual
0% MetaloidManiac206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $369.4k
9.9× usual
0% Erasmus. PROVEN206d agoexcluded