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MetaloidManiac

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?−$0No · avg 92¢ → 91.5¢ · $92
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$331.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.1k
Last 30 days +$240 · $1.19M volume · 1,030 trades · since Mar 17, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$16.1k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$0
Closed-position win rate
95%
65 closed
Wallet age · markets
221d
63 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.6¢ $11.7k99% 129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $11.7k99% 129d agoexcluded
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $11.7k1% 129d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $29.8k99% 156d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $34.0k0% 156d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $11.5k99% 158d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 95¢ $14.2k5% 158d agomissed
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $18.2k93% 179d agocalled
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $29.9k0% 181d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $28.8k96% 206d agocalled
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.4k
2.8× usual
0% 206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $24.7k99% 208d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $28.7k0% 208d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW BUY No @ 81¢ $16.0k81% 209d agocalled

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