Hans323

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$1,202Yes · avg 8.6¢ → 13¢ · $3,722 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?+$513Yes · avg 43¢ → 52¢ · $2,800 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$262Yes · avg 14¢ → 16¢ · $2,001 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?+$23No · avg 96.7¢ → 98.6¢ · $1,211 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?+$127Yes · avg 57¢ → 64¢ · $1,191 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?+$300No · avg 38¢ → 53¢ · $1,060 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?+$94Yes · avg 65¢ → 72¢ · $1,032 Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?+$131No · avg 80¢ → 94.2¢ · $858

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$117.7k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$95.2k

Last 30 days −$746 · $11.16M volume · 31,467 trades · since Oct 31, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$1.69M

Open P&L · 29 positions

+$2,531

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

722d

4041 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$12.8k	100%	142d ago	excluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$17.3k	100%	234d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$19.0k	100%	237d ago	excluded
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$20.8k	100%	262d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$20.8k	0%	262d ago	excluded
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$27.0k	100%	334d ago	excluded

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$12.8k

LOW Hans323 · 142d ago

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$17.3k

LOW Hans323 · 234d ago

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$19.0k

LOW Hans323 · 237d ago

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$20.8k

LOW Hans323 · 262d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$20.8k

LOW Hans323 · 262d ago

Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$27.0k

LOW Hans323 · 334d ago

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