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What this means. A wallet put $49.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.8k
BUY Yes @ 67¢ · 74,313 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Yes (buy) for $49.8k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market hasn't resolved yet.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.8k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 67¢
- Implied odds
- 67.0%
- Size
- $49.8k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 06:54 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- pending
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0xaae664d2…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsYes price · entry 67¢ · now 66¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $21.6k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $15.8k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $12.0k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $110.5k 3.4× usual |
pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $86.7k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $20.6k | pending |