← Wallets
−$660No · avg 39¢ → 34¢ · $4,020 · 0 proven with, 2 against−$880No · avg 75¢ → 62¢ · $3,869−$284Yes · avg 41¢ → 37¢ · $2,629−$2,359Yes · avg 19¢ → 8.5¢ · $1,910−$2,304No · avg 19¢ → 8.5¢ · $1,865−$24Yes · avg 30¢ → 26¢ · $138
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +45.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+45.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$11.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$21.6k
Last 30 days −$4,271 · $183.4k volume · 161 trades · since Sep 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$28.2k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$6,570
Closed-position win rate
88%
8 closed
Wallet age · markets
46d
15 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +45.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 55¢ | $11.0k | called |
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