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Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

OpenResolves Nov 3?Alert me on this market
Flags
10
Net whale flow → Yes
+$114.0k
Yes 7d ago → now
32¢→30¢
Category
Politics

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● open ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 30¢no rated wallets
  1. whoareyoun$130.5k
  2. botbot$75.1k
  3. BreakTheBank$38.1k
  4. neutralwave23$35.4k
  5. HowBoutThemCowboys$32.9k
  6. 0x6764…49c4$32.8k
  7. saiofunara$29.4k
  8. chuckrhoades$29.0k
  9. nigiri99$28.9k
  10. Arbguy$22.5k
  11. ClauseAI$17.5k
  12. lijacq$17.2k
No 70¢no rated wallets
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$494.7k
  2. wan123$192.4k
  3. defillama7$113.0k
  4. foodenjoyer$79.8k
  5. mr.ozi$69.5k
  6. tourists$62.2k
  7. 0xe234…304a$36.1k
  8. WordleAddict$34.7k
  9. 8DDD$28.4k
  10. Tigerofthehood$28.4k
  11. Kettle$27.8k
  12. peasant$21.1k

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Not No$153.0k
6 flags
none none
No$60.9k
2 flags
none none
Yes$22.0k
2 flags
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
MED SELL No @ 70¢ $43.0k
3.1× usual
30% defillama72h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $16.5k32% Vespuccii6h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $11.6k32% 0xff1e…5e2d6h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
MED SELL No @ 69¢ $34.5k31% pup16h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $21.6k70% 8DDD6h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
LOW SELL No @ 70¢ $12.0k30% 0xe234…304a6h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
MED SELL No @ 69¢ $35.3k31% Wickier6h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $39.3k
2.9× usual
70% defillama76h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ $10.0k32% HowBoutThemCowboys1d agoOpenResolves Nov 3
MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ $12.0k32% lijacq NEW1d agoOpenResolves Nov 3

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 10 whale trades on this market totalling $235.9k from 9 wallets. The largest was $43.0k (sell No at 70¢). Most whale money ($153.0k) went against No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, defillama7 ($82.3k), has no graded flags yet.

Market data from Polymarket (will-the-republicans-win-the-texas-senate-race-in-2026).