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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$12.0k

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

0xe234…304a sold No at 70¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 30% chance. 17,104 shares, Oct 29, 13:33 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0xe234…304a sold No for $12.0k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied 30% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.5 pts
No price · entry 70¢ · now 70¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
65¢70¢74¢ Whale entry 70¢ · $12.0k WHALE $12.0K @ 70¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 70¢ $43.0k
3.1× usual
30% defillama71h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $16.5k32% Vespuccii4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $11.6k32% 0xff1e…5e2d4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 69¢ $34.5k31% pup14h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $21.6k70% 8DDD4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 69¢ $35.3k31% Wickier4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3

Same event on Kalshi

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