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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$34.5k

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

pup1 sold No at 69¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 31% chance. 50,000 shares, Oct 29, 13:50 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $34.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet pup1 sold No for $34.5k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied 31% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $34.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.5 pts
No price · entry 69¢ · now 70¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
65¢70¢74¢ Whale entry 69¢ · $34.5k WHALE $34.5K @ 69¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 70¢ $43.0k
3.1× usual
30% defillama71h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $16.5k32% Vespuccii4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $11.6k32% 0xff1e…5e2d4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $21.6k70% 8DDD4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 70¢ $12.0k30% 0xe234…304a4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 69¢ $35.3k31% Wickier4h agoOpenResolves Nov 3

Same event on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

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