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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$21.6k

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

8DDD bought No at 70¢. The price gave that side a 70% chance. 30,882 shares, Oct 29, 13:43 EDT.

Alert on this marketAlert on this wallet

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $21.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 8DDD bought No for $21.6k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied 70% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $21.6k+0
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.5 pts
No price · entry 70¢ · now 70¢
65¢70¢74¢ Whale entry 70¢ · $21.6k WHALE $21.6K @ 70¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Some rural Republicans in California say redistricting has left them without a voiceNPR · Google News · 45m agoState Senate Democratic Committee: Senate Republicans Forced to Play Defense in Republican Stronghold DistrictsWisPolitics · Google News · 58m agoHow Trump's immigration crackdown sparked a backlash that could undermine Republicans' campaignsPBS · Google News · 1h agoFarmer-funded attack ads targeting Republicans air across rural AmericaReuters · Google News · 2h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $16.5k32% Vespuccii3h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $11.6k32% 0xff1e…5e2d3h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 69¢ $34.5k31% pup13h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 70¢ $12.0k30% 0xe234…304a3h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 69¢ $35.3k31% Wickier3h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $39.3k
3.0× usual
70% defillama73h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 68¢$16.5k
LOW Vespuccii · 3h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 68¢$11.6k
LOW 0xff1e…5e2d · 3h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 69¢$34.5k
MED pup1 · 3h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 70¢$12.0k
LOW 0xe234…304a · 3h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 69¢$35.3k
MED Wickier · 3h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
BUY No @ 70¢$39.3k
LOW defillama7 · 3h ago

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