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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$39.3k

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

defillama7 bought No at 70¢. The price gave that side a 70% chance. 56,142 shares, Oct 29, 13:13 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $39.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet defillama7 bought No for $39.3k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied 70% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $39.3k+1
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.9× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.5 pts
No price · entry 70¢ · now 70¢
65¢70¢74¢ Whale entry 70¢ · $39.3k WHALE $39.3K @ 70¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 70¢ $43.0k
3.1× usual
30% defillama74h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $16.5k32% Vespuccii7h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $11.6k32% 0xff1e…5e2d7h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 69¢ $34.5k31% pup18h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $21.6k70% 8DDD8h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 70¢ $12.0k30% 0xe234…304a8h agoOpenResolves Nov 3

Same event on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

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