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Vespuccii

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$76.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$14.0k
Last 30 days +$12.7k · $1.56M volume · 2,065 trades · since Oct 21, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$7,701
Open P&L · 38 positions
+$4,502
Closed-position win rate
60%
242 closed
Wallet age · markets
733d
261 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?LOW SELL No @ 84¢ $16.8k16% 2d agopending
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $59.9k100% 37d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x712ff6…