Polymarket · Politics · one bet
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
defillama7 sold No at 70¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 30% chance. 61,488 shares, Oct 29, 17:03 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What happened
Wallet defillama7 sold No for $43.0k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied 30% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsRelated news
Same names, last 7 daysPublic RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 68¢ | $16.5k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 68¢ | $11.6k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | MED SELL No @ 69¢ | $34.5k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $21.6k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 70¢ | $12.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | MED SELL No @ 69¢ | $35.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
Same event on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.
| YES Ken Paxton | $17.7k | 32¢ | 12h ago |
| YES Ken Paxton | $47.7k | 32¢ | 12h ago |