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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$16.5k

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Vespuccii sold No at 68¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 32% chance. 24,335 shares, Oct 29, 13:53 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Vespuccii sold No for $16.5k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied 32% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $16.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -1.5 pts
No price · entry 68¢ · now 70¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
64¢69¢74¢ Whale entry 68¢ · $16.5k WHALE $16.5K @ 68¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Republicans in Texas Panhandle seek major change to ballot counting process statewideTexas Public Radio | TPR · Google News · 1h agoAnimal welfare-focused farm group targets Republicans in rural racesReuters · Google News · 1h agoSome rural Republicans in California say redistricting has left them without a voiceNPR · Google News · 3h agoState Senate Democratic Committee: Senate Republicans Forced to Play Defense in Republican Stronghold DistrictsWisPolitics · Google News · 3h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 70¢ $43.0k
3.1× usual
30% defillama72h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $11.6k32% 0xff1e…5e2d5h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 69¢ $34.5k31% pup15h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $21.6k70% 8DDD5h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL No @ 70¢ $12.0k30% 0xe234…304a5h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL No @ 69¢ $35.3k31% Wickier5h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 70¢$43.0k
MED defillama7 · 2h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 68¢$11.6k
LOW 0xff1e…5e2d · 5h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 69¢$34.5k
MED pup1 · 5h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
BUY No @ 70¢$21.6k
LOW 8DDD · 5h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 70¢$12.0k
LOW 0xe234…304a · 5h ago
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL No @ 69¢$35.3k
MED Wickier · 5h ago

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