Polymarket · Politics · one bet
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
lijacq bought Yes at 32¢. The price gave that side a 32% chance. 37,074 shares, Oct 28, 11:58 EDT.
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What happened
Wallet lijacq bought Yes for $12.0k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied 32% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -1.9 ptsRelated news
Same names, last 7 daysPublic RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | MED SELL No @ 70¢ | $43.0k 3.1× usual |
OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 68¢ | $16.5k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 68¢ | $11.6k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | MED SELL No @ 69¢ | $34.5k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $21.6k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 70¢ | $12.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
Same event on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.
| YES Ken Paxton | $17.7k | 32¢ | 11h ago |
| YES Ken Paxton | $47.7k | 32¢ | 11h ago |