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What this means. A wallet put $86.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D Housepending
$86.7k
BUY Yes @ 67¢ · 129,375 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics

What happened

Wallet ndb1 took Yes (buy) for $86.7k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market hasn't resolved yet.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $86.7k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
67¢
Implied odds
67.0%
Size
$86.7k
Placed
Oct 22, 12:51 EDT
Market close
Nov 03, 23:59 EST
Result
pending
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ndb1
Tx
0xacc465d6…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.5 pts
Yes price · entry 67¢ · now 66¢
62¢67¢72¢ Whale entry 67¢ · $86.7k WHALE $86.7K @ 67¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImpliedWalletWhenResult
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseLOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ $21.6k34% timetowander3h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseLOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $15.8k68% StarryPath19h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseMED BUY Yes @ 67¢ $49.8k67% ndb1 PROVEN19h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseLOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $12.0k67% MisTKy PROVEN20h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseMED BUY No @ 33¢ $110.5k
3.4× usual
33% thesingularityisnear21h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseLOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $20.6k68% StarryPath1d agopending