← Wallets
+$2,800Yes · avg 64¢ → 66¢ · $74.5k · 2 proven with, 0 against+$265Yes · avg 63¢ → 64¢ · $23.5k−$291Yes · avg 86¢ → 85¢ · $17.5k+$371Yes · avg 78¢ → 80¢ · $14.1k+$948No · avg 89¢ → 95.6¢ · $13.7k+$131Yes · avg 41¢ → 42¢ · $10.9k−$234Yes · avg 44¢ → 42¢ · $6,634+$60No · avg 93¢ → 94¢ · $5,640
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Same side: 2 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$570.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$50.3k
Last 30 days +$33.1k · $5.78M volume · 1,175 trades · since Apr 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$48.5k
Open P&L · 42 positions
−$18
Closed-position win rate
64%
36 closed
Wallet age · markets
195d
72 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.4¢ | $16.0k | pending |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $70.4k 2.4× usual |
pending |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $29.7k | pending |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $17.8k | pending |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $179.5k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $180.1k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $31.2k | excluded |
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