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Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

OpenResolves Nov 3?Alert me on this market
Flags
1
Net whale flow → outcome 1
+$16.0k
Price 7d ago → now
3.4¢→2.2¢
Category
Politics

Outcome price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● open ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
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Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 2.2¢no rated wallets
  1. Ferwhere$16.0k
  2. 0x41b4…dad2$8,664
  3. 0x5375…aeea$1,132
  4. 0xa0f2…1848$526
  5. 0x5ec3…f154$474
  6. MinhPhan98$451
  7. Blamates$339
  8. CDAP1$293
  9. Bobby001$240
  10. mwenya$179
  11. 0xcb01…7dfb$160
  12. TheBigBingo$135
No 97.8¢no rated wallets
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$455.0k
  2. ArmageddonRewardsBilly$144.8k
  3. wan123$125.0k
  4. elmcap2$66.1k
  5. chriszyy3$58.8k
  6. AngryRhino$48.3k
  7. dromedaryy$31.6k
  8. betwick$29.3k
  9. stupid22$26.4k
  10. Seutervoinen$24.5k
  11. pantomime$24.4k
  12. M888$23.9k

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Not No$16.0k
1 flag
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ $16.0k4% 456ythgbvcadscvb21h agoOpenResolves Nov 3

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 1 whale trade on this market totalling $16.0k from 1 wallet. The largest was $16.0k (sell No at 96.5¢). Most whale money ($16.0k) went against No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, 456ythgbvcadscvb ($16.0k), has no graded flags yet.

Market data from Polymarket (will-steve-hilton-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026).