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chriszyy3

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?+$2,796No · avg 94.4¢ → 97.8¢ · $82.1kWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?+$2,020No · avg 94.3¢ → 97.7¢ · $58.7kWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?+$3,822No · avg 87¢ → 97.2¢ · $35.9kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?+$74No · avg 96.8¢ → 97¢ · $29.1kWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?+$844Yes · avg 93.2¢ → 97¢ · $21.6kClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?+$389No · avg 94.5¢ → 96.3¢ · $21.4kWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?−$278No · avg 89¢ → 86¢ · $9,611Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?+$123No · avg 97.1¢ → 98.5¢ · $8,940
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$887.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$60.5k
Last 30 days +$5,562 · $6.91M volume · 6,075 trades · since Oct 11, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$50.9k
Open P&L · 17 positions
+$10.4k
Closed-position win rate
95%
298 closed
Wallet age · markets
743d
314 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $65.7k0% 38d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $89.1k
2.3× usual
1% 38d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $88.4k
2.3× usual
0% 38d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $51.1k99% 38d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% 179d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $20.0k0% 179d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $20.0k0% 180d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $11.0k99% 190d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $111.3k
2.9× usual
100% 198d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $35.5k1% 199d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢ $33.9k98% 199d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED SELL No @ 99.3¢ $132.8k
3.4× usual
1% 199d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $69.7k98% 262d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $38.7k100% 265d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $30.7k100% 265d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $63.9k99% 269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% 269d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$65.7k
LOW chriszyy3 · 38d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.3¢$89.1k
LOW chriszyy3 · 38d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$88.4k
LOW chriszyy3 · 38d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$51.1k
LOW chriszyy3 · 38d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW chriszyy3 · 179d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW chriszyy3 · 179d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW chriszyy3 · 180d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.3¢$11.0k
LOW chriszyy3 · 190d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$111.3k
LOW chriszyy3 · 198d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.3¢$35.5k
LOW chriszyy3 · 199d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98.3¢$33.9k
LOW chriszyy3 · 199d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.3¢$132.8k
MED chriszyy3 · 199d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.1¢$69.7k
LOW chriszyy3 · 262d ago
US government shutdown Saturday?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$38.7k
LOW chriszyy3 · 265d ago
US government shutdown Saturday?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$30.7k
LOW chriszyy3 · 265d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$63.9k
LOW chriszyy3 · 269d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.3k
LOW chriszyy3 · 269d ago

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