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ElvenWisp

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$2.50M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$31.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $15.06M volume · 2,183 trades · since Jan 01, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$30.5k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
95%
79 closed
Wallet age · markets
296d
78 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $292.2k
2.8× usual
100% 93d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $290.3k
2.8× usual
100% 129d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $100.0k0% 179d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $59.1k100% 185d agoexcluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $28.8k0% 189d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $27.1k99% 190d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $281.8k
2.7× usual
100% 198d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $19.9k100% 208d agoexcluded
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $28.9k100% 235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $273.3k
2.6× usual
0% 235d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $110.5k0% 238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $251.9k
2.4× usual
100% 239d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $39.9k0% 264d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $39.9k0% 264d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $99.8k0% 264d agoexcluded
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 96.5¢ $12.5k96% 264d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $129.4k0% 294d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $180.2k100% 294d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $116.4k0% 295d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $113.2k100% 295d agoexcluded

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