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What this means. A wallet put $116.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$116.4k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 116,764 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet ElvenWisp took No (sell) for $116.4k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $116.4k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 0.3%
- Size
- $116.4k
- Placed
- Jan 01, 17:40 EST
- Market close
- Dec 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ElvenWisp
- Tx
- 0xebc5e979…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $169.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $194.7k 5.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |