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What this means. A wallet put $194.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$194.7k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 194,900 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)5.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet tsybka took No (sell) for $194.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $194.7k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $194.7k
- Placed
- Jan 04, 10:26 EST
- Market close
- Dec 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- tsybka
- Tx
- 0xddea4741…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+71.4 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $169.9k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $52.8k 2.7× usual |
excluded |