← Wallets
+$256No · avg 69¢ → 71¢ · $11.8k · 1 proven with, 0 against−$142No · avg 83¢ → 80¢ · $4,622−$1,372Yes · avg 45¢ → 29¢ · $2,432+$180No · avg 70¢ → 79¢ · $1,580−$240No · avg 76¢ → 64¢ · $1,280−$70Yes · avg 2.6¢ → 2.1¢ · $312−$2Yes · avg 85¢ → 84¢ · $252−$322No · avg 55¢ → 24¢ · $240
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +14.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+14.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$281.4k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$121.1k
Last 30 days +$1,482 · $10.18M volume · 19,494 trades · since Jan 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$480.8k
Open P&L · 27 positions
−$3,463
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
661d
1966 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +22.0 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +7.0 pts |
History
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