{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xae189bf515a25e079c05c65c5d743d92898bb5ef8433cc39eada076cea9938c5:0","id":"trade:0xae189bf515a25e079c05c65c5d743d92898bb5ef8433cc39eada076cea9938c5:0","implied":0.78,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.78,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789746012,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":23400.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4d85e4a3bb52cc933528a70151846ba4cf6004c9ffc4efa63279b4704c5ac73c:1","id":"trade:0x4d85e4a3bb52cc933528a70151846ba4cf6004c9ffc4efa63279b4704c5ac73c:1","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784085706,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":10369.518600000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3e21a6d45bebd63951c0be83d289a0ce6335f054c9a431802df3be6156e73b3a:0","id":"trade:0x3e21a6d45bebd63951c0be83d289a0ce6335f054c9a431802df3be6156e73b3a:0","implied":0.9976535802386589,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9976535802386589,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781721448,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":41777.442030000006,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa13e753a0b71e30c3818831e9e44c3525d62881973923148a597860ccda87ae5:1","id":"trade:0xa13e753a0b71e30c3818831e9e44c3525d62881973923148a597860ccda87ae5:1","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781721241,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":27242.077849999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb7ac110f837ad212b0997976d23defb7cf0833f8bcaec38419c846aaee9e0daa:0","id":"trade:0xb7ac110f837ad212b0997976d23defb7cf0833f8bcaec38419c846aaee9e0daa:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781704649,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":15984.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0448099743133a1a25272915a88b888fc823028ce37476a8accf691409b5acaf:1","id":"trade:0x0448099743133a1a25272915a88b888fc823028ce37476a8accf691409b5acaf:1","implied":0.9949999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9949999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781664067,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":19023.405,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x53949c2cabe7f259781dfa11dc7695617bd5d54791bf85dca2d2d62e40c24603:0","id":"trade:0x53949c2cabe7f259781dfa11dc7695617bd5d54791bf85dca2d2d62e40c24603:0","implied":0.9940000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9940000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781653105,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":11044.334,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x776f8caf263d94bd6872b9727db8eea349f3c8f21dc499ef5661285e8fc379dd:1","id":"trade:0x776f8caf263d94bd6872b9727db8eea349f3c8f21dc499ef5661285e8fc379dd:1","implied":0.006000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.994,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781653021,"title":"Will Roberto S\u00e1nchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","usd":10190.60728,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x73c140c275a1c4e3c5e17a14ca61fa72c2e726b78614c8bdc15b5e356f1c5a81:0","id":"trade:0x73c140c275a1c4e3c5e17a14ca61fa72c2e726b78614c8bdc15b5e356f1c5a81:0","implied":0.9949999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9949999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781637860,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":16494.20455,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfc2632a5f60f615fbea01b0a23b15eca1d839863770a50c57445daf99f1d49b4:0","id":"trade:0xfc2632a5f60f615fbea01b0a23b15eca1d839863770a50c57445daf99f1d49b4:0","implied":0.45,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.45,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779592610,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":10350.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8d2cf42d1a4d66d7d4afe9e53472772721be51615afefc0ef5493dc66febfa01:0","id":"trade:0x8d2cf42d1a4d66d7d4afe9e53472772721be51615afefc0ef5493dc66febfa01:0","implied":0.5280538477999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.4719461522000001,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1779589118,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":10898.241899602188,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x50912098824fda57d64de0f7fc59cbbf06d088ef18eec8dc63e0eeb77243b845:1","id":"trade:0x50912098824fda57d64de0f7fc59cbbf06d088ef18eec8dc63e0eeb77243b845:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779335715,"title":"Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":14873.35368,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa12567f66b2b4ab52023c47f5a499897c526cd7c65c3304e72ba11f193c227c7:1","id":"trade:0xa12567f66b2b4ab52023c47f5a499897c526cd7c65c3304e72ba11f193c227c7:1","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777401964,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","usd":33430.19763,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb5307373f5dd2aa9d4b2f7af167f45082b6f83e9fa10e3efefd1af75f667cf37:1","id":"trade:0xb5307373f5dd2aa9d4b2f7af167f45082b6f83e9fa10e3efefd1af75f667cf37:1","implied":0.013000000000000123,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9869999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1774291627,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":10093.131089999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6eb5bf117b3eaf0b64a22711ab52364682d9d1b1ae991077b468c413f77fcbdb:0","id":"trade:0x6eb5bf117b3eaf0b64a22711ab52364682d9d1b1ae991077b468c413f77fcbdb:0","implied":0.0019999999999998908,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9980000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1772400401,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":13950.243600000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe6b5f41ec8870d5b971c66d1c5897321c30b25d4d3f93709b25122d6b97c987d:0","id":"trade:0xe6b5f41ec8870d5b971c66d1c5897321c30b25d4d3f93709b25122d6b97c987d:0","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.93,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772260983,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":12307.647900000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"}],"record":{"called":2,"edge":0.14500000000000002,"exp_rate":0.855,"expected":1.71,"hit":1.0,"n":2,"se":0.24325912110340278},"wallet":"0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22"}
