← Wallets
+$386No · avg 96.3¢ → 97.4¢ · $36.0k+$633No · avg 88¢ → 90¢ · $28.6k−$102No · avg 86¢ → 86¢ · $24.9k+$56Yes · avg 85¢ → 85¢ · $19.2k+$270No · avg 96¢ → 98¢ · $13.2k+$103No · avg 93.5¢ → 94.5¢ · $10.2k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$160No · avg 73¢ → 74¢ · $8,554−$43No · avg 91.3¢ → 90.5¢ · $5,082
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -5.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-5.3 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$163.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$99.6k
Last 30 days +$2,657 · $12.71M volume · 49,407 trades · since Aug 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$238.8k
Open P&L · 227 positions
+$726
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
445d
4721 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -5.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $49.8k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | MED SELL No @ 84¢ | $32.7k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.7¢ | $15.0k | called |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9d7369…