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JAHODA

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 8 of 9. The prices it paid implied about 7.5 wins, so it did +5.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: +3.4 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+5.7 pts
Called / graded
8/9
Expected from price
7.5
Flagged volume
$10.08M
Sample size9 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±9.7 pts std. error.

Graded P&L at their stakes

+$10k
9 graded bets in the order they resolved · 8 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
$0$11k
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Jul at 76¢) and the edge is +3.4 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
0–20¢
0% vs 19% · n=1
60–80¢
100% vs 76% · n=1
80–100¢
100% vs 93% · n=7
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$227.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $72.40M volume · 25,870 trades · since Nov 07, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$268.7k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
55%
278 closed
Wallet age · markets
351d
222 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Economy887.3+8.8 pts
Other100.2-19.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $110.0k
2.2× usual
100% 86d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $172.7k
3.4× usual
100% 88d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 72¢ $86.2k28% 88d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $19.0k0% 95d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 93.4¢ $15.6k93% 95d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 93.7¢ $19.8k94% 95d agocalled
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ $11.9k95% 96d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 95.5¢ $126.3k
2.5× usual
5% 98d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $299.1k
5.9× usual
100% 99d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $141.1k
2.8× usual
0% 100d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $199.1k
3.9× usual
100% 100d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ $43.4k94% 100d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ $28.0k93% 100d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢ $15.9k11% 101d agomissed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $99.4k99% 101d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 78¢ $67.7k22% 107d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $52.1k99% 114d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $46.6k99% 114d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $98.8k99% 117d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 24¢ $12.2k76% 123d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 74¢ $33.5k26% 123d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $148.0k
2.9× usual
99% 123d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $642.5k
12.6× usual
100% 128d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% 128d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k100% 139d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ $82.9k98% 141d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $39.9k100% 143d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $36.4k99% 143d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ $37.2k2% 143d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $169.4k
3.3× usual
99% 144d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $129.4k
2.5× usual
0% 144d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $24.3k100% 144d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 54¢ $10.9k46% 144d agomissed
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $12.1k99% 147d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.6¢ $24.1k98% 148d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $119.1k
2.3× usual
100% 149d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ $28.0k1% 150d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $11.9k98% 152d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?MED BUY No @ 96¢ $155.1k
3.0× usual
96% 154d agocalled
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $30.8k96% 158d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $39.6k99% 161d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ $10.7k98% 162d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $47.0k94% 162d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $63.0k98% 164d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $112.4k
2.2× usual
99% 165d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $34.7k98% 165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $35.1k99% 166d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $16.5k98% 166d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $38.0k95% 168d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $21.7k97% 169d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ $22.5k97% 169d agocalled
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $80.7k93% 175d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ $22.2k97% 176d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $350.0k
6.9× usual
100% 176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?MED SELL No @ 92¢ $119.5k
2.3× usual
8% 176d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $116.3k
2.3× usual
0% 176d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $299.1k
5.9× usual
100% 177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $67.4k0% 177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $87.3k100% 177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $445.4k
8.7× usual
0% 178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $199.4k
3.9× usual
0% 178d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ $29.3k2% 181d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ $29.9k2% 182d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ $26.3k2% 182d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 95.4¢ $11.4k95% 188d agocalled
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?MED SELL No @ 95.3¢ $25.4k5% 189d agomissed
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $134.9k
2.6× usual
0% 190d agoexcluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $129.7k
2.5× usual
0% 190d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $58.3k90% 192d agocalled
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $87.3k98% 193d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ $39.1k97% 194d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ $30.3k98% 196d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $33.2k100% 198d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k100% 199d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $73.4k100% 199d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?MED SELL No @ 96.1¢ $96.1k4% 199d agomissed
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $36.7k90% 199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ $99.6k0% 199d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ $43.6k2% 199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $142.3k
2.8× usual
100% 200d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $198.0k
3.9× usual
99% 205d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $30.0k99% 209d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $13.5k100% 210d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $15.8k86% 214d agocalled
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $10.3k98% 218d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $173.7k
3.4× usual
100% 268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $744.8k
14.6× usual
1% 269d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $12.3k87% 269d agocalled
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $98.5k99% 270d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ $47.8k96% 281d agocalled
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $98.5k98% 284d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $10.8k19% 285d agomissed
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $18.7k92% 289d agocalled
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 92¢ $111.4k
2.2× usual
92% 289d agocalled
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $249.5k
4.9× usual
100% 294d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $214.2k
4.2× usual
100% 295d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ $98.4k98% 311d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ $22.8k76% 311d agocalled
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $165.5k
3.2× usual
1% 318d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $154.5k
3.0× usual
1% 318d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $109.3k
2.1× usual
99% 319d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $49.9k100% 327d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $49.5k99% 327d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $159.2k
3.1× usual
0% 330d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $29.9k100% 330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $74.4k0% 331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $70.2k100% 331d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $42.2k98% 338d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$110.0k
LOW JAHODA · 86d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$172.7k
LOW JAHODA · 88d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
SELL Yes @ 72¢$86.2k
MED JAHODA · 88d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$19.0k
LOW JAHODA · 95d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 93.4¢$15.6k
LOW JAHODA · 95d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 93.7¢$19.8k
LOW JAHODA · 95d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 95.3¢$11.9k
LOW JAHODA · 96d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
SELL Yes @ 95.5¢$126.3k
MED JAHODA · 98d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$299.1k
LOW JAHODA · 99d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$141.1k
LOW JAHODA · 100d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$199.1k
LOW JAHODA · 100d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 94¢$43.4k
LOW JAHODA · 100d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 93¢$28.0k
LOW JAHODA · 100d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
SELL Yes @ 89¢$15.9k
LOW JAHODA · 101d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$99.4k
LOW JAHODA · 101d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
SELL Yes @ 78¢$67.7k
MED JAHODA · 107d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.1¢$52.1k
LOW JAHODA · 114d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.9¢$46.6k
LOW JAHODA · 114d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.8¢$98.8k
LOW JAHODA · 117d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?called
SELL Yes @ 24¢$12.2k
LOW JAHODA · 123d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
SELL Yes @ 74¢$33.5k
MED JAHODA · 123d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.7¢$148.0k
LOW JAHODA · 123d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$642.5k
LOW JAHODA · 128d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$50.0k
LOW JAHODA · 128d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k
LOW JAHODA · 139d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98.5¢$82.9k
LOW JAHODA · 141d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$39.9k
LOW JAHODA · 143d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 98.9¢$36.4k
LOW JAHODA · 143d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 98.3¢$37.2k
LOW JAHODA · 143d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$169.4k
LOW JAHODA · 144d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$129.4k
LOW JAHODA · 144d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$24.3k
LOW JAHODA · 144d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?missed
SELL No @ 54¢$10.9k
LOW JAHODA · 144d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.7¢$12.1k
LOW JAHODA · 147d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.6¢$24.1k
LOW JAHODA · 148d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$119.1k
LOW JAHODA · 149d ago
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?excluded
SELL No @ 98.8¢$28.0k
LOW JAHODA · 150d ago
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 98.2¢$11.9k
LOW JAHODA · 152d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called
BUY No @ 96¢$155.1k
MED JAHODA · 154d ago
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?called
BUY No @ 96¢$30.8k
LOW JAHODA · 158d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.9¢$39.6k
LOW JAHODA · 161d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.8¢$10.7k
LOW JAHODA · 162d ago
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?called
BUY No @ 94¢$47.0k
LOW JAHODA · 162d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.5¢$63.0k
LOW JAHODA · 164d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$112.4k
LOW JAHODA · 165d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 98.1¢$34.7k
LOW JAHODA · 165d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$35.1k
LOW JAHODA · 166d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 98.2¢$16.5k
LOW JAHODA · 166d ago
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?called
BUY No @ 95¢$38.0k
LOW JAHODA · 168d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 97¢$21.7k
LOW JAHODA · 169d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 96.9¢$22.5k
LOW JAHODA · 169d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called
BUY No @ 93¢$80.7k
LOW JAHODA · 175d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 96.9¢$22.2k
LOW JAHODA · 176d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$350.0k
LOW JAHODA · 176d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?missed
SELL No @ 92¢$119.5k
MED JAHODA · 176d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$116.3k
LOW JAHODA · 176d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$299.1k
LOW JAHODA · 177d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$67.4k
LOW JAHODA · 177d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$87.3k
LOW JAHODA · 177d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.7¢$445.4k
MED JAHODA · 178d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.7¢$199.4k
LOW JAHODA · 178d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 98.4¢$29.3k
LOW JAHODA · 181d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 98.5¢$29.9k
LOW JAHODA · 182d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 97.9¢$26.3k
LOW JAHODA · 182d ago
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?called
BUY No @ 95.4¢$11.4k
LOW JAHODA · 188d ago
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?missed
SELL No @ 95.3¢$25.4k
MED JAHODA · 189d ago
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$134.9k
LOW JAHODA · 190d ago
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$129.7k
LOW JAHODA · 190d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called
BUY No @ 90¢$58.3k
LOW JAHODA · 192d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 98¢$87.3k
LOW JAHODA · 193d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 97.3¢$39.1k
LOW JAHODA · 194d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98¢$30.3k
LOW JAHODA · 196d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$33.2k
LOW JAHODA · 198d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$99.9k
LOW JAHODA · 199d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$73.4k
LOW JAHODA · 199d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?missed
SELL No @ 96.1¢$96.1k
MED JAHODA · 199d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY No @ 90¢$36.7k
LOW JAHODA · 199d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.6¢$99.6k
LOW JAHODA · 199d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
SELL No @ 97.9¢$43.6k
LOW JAHODA · 199d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$142.3k
LOW JAHODA · 200d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$198.0k
LOW JAHODA · 205d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$30.0k
LOW JAHODA · 209d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$13.5k
LOW JAHODA · 210d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 86¢$15.8k
LOW JAHODA · 214d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 98.1¢$10.3k
LOW JAHODA · 218d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$173.7k
LOW JAHODA · 268d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.3¢$744.8k
MED JAHODA · 269d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 87¢$12.3k
LOW JAHODA · 269d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99¢$98.5k
LOW JAHODA · 270d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 95.5¢$47.8k
LOW JAHODA · 281d ago
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? excluded
BUY No @ 98.5¢$98.5k
LOW JAHODA · 284d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed
SELL No @ 81¢$10.8k
LOW JAHODA · 285d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 92¢$18.7k
LOW JAHODA · 289d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 92¢$111.4k
MED JAHODA · 289d ago
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$249.5k
LOW JAHODA · 294d ago
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$214.2k
LOW JAHODA · 295d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.4¢$98.4k
LOW JAHODA · 311d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 76¢$22.8k
LOW JAHODA · 311d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.3¢$165.5k
LOW JAHODA · 318d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.3¢$154.5k
LOW JAHODA · 318d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$109.3k
LOW JAHODA · 319d ago
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$49.9k
LOW JAHODA · 327d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$49.5k
LOW JAHODA · 327d ago
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$159.2k
MED JAHODA · 330d ago
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$29.9k
LOW JAHODA · 330d ago
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$74.4k
LOW JAHODA · 331d ago
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$70.2k
LOW JAHODA · 331d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.1¢$42.2k
LOW JAHODA · 338d ago

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