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What this means. A wallet put $96.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?missed
$96.1k
SELL No @ 96.1¢ · 100,010 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet JAHODA took No (sell) for $96.1k at an average 96.1¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $96.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
96.1¢
Implied odds
3.9%
Size
$96.1k
Placed
Apr 07, 17:28 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
JAHODA
Tx
0x73ca8000…
This wallet's graded record
8/9+5.7 pts
expected 7.5 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $71.7k
3.3× usual
0% Anjun177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% pantomime177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.4k0% OkieDokiePeon177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% duderr177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% RememberAmalek177d agoexcluded