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What this means. A wallet put $154.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$154.5k
SELL No @ 99.3¢ · 155,583 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet JAHODA took No (sell) for $154.5k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $154.5k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 0.7%
- Size
- $154.5k
- Placed
- Dec 09, 10:46 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- JAHODA
- Tx
- 0xdc8a04e7…
This wallet's graded record
8/9+5.7 pts
expected 7.5 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsNo price · entry 99.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $126.9k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $225.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $100.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.4k | excluded |