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LlamaEnjoyer

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +54.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+54.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$4.00M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$270.5k
Last 30 days −$131.0k · $97.26M volume · 53,618 trades · since May 13, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.93M
Open P&L · 291 positions
−$3.17M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
1260d
5072 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.5+54.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLOW BUY Gen.G @ 72¢ $28.1k72% 21h agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursMED BUY Thunder @ 89¢ $88.1k89% 3d agoexcluded
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $157.3k
3.4× usual
0% 6d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ $14.4k46% 133d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $360.0k
7.9× usual
100% 142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $31.0k99% 142d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $40.5k100% 146d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $2.09M
45.5× usual
100% 167d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $96.3k
2.1× usual
100% 176d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $96.0k
2.1× usual
0% 176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $24.2k0% 178d agoexcluded
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $151.2k
3.3× usual
100% 195d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% 195d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $150.0k
3.3× usual
100% 206d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $47.3k100% 206d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $45.2k100% 234d agoexcluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $36.5k99% 236d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ $54.7k98% 237d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?MED SELL Yes @ 97¢ $33.3k3% 237d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?MED SELL Yes @ 96.2¢ $48.1k4% 237d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $39.4k0% 260d agoexcluded
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $46.6k100% 262d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $49.9k0% 262d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $19.5k0% 264d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $31.3k0% 266d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $39.9k100% 317d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $149.9k
3.3× usual
100% 353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $14.2k0% 353d agoexcluded

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