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What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?called
$11.4k
BUY No @ 95.4¢ · 11,986 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet JAHODA took No (buy) for $11.4k at an average 95.4¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2074American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.4¢
Implied odds
95.4%
Size
$11.4k
Placed
Apr 18, 08:38 EDT
Market close
Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
JAHODA
Tx
0x0b4e1525…
This wallet's graded record
8/9+5.7 pts
expected 7.5 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $13.5k100% bosshog177d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $15.2k0% tetrase177d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $39.6k100% ScottyNooo PROVEN181d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $10.4k1% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN181d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $23.2k99% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN183d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?MED SELL No @ 95.3¢ $25.4k5% JAHODA189d agomissed