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What this means. A wallet put $29.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
$29.3k
SELL No @ 98.4¢ · 29,761 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet JAHODA took No (sell) for $29.3k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $29.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.4¢
Implied odds
1.6%
Size
$29.3k
Placed
Apr 25, 04:39 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
JAHODA
Tx
0xdb36f237…
This wallet's graded record
8/9+5.7 pts
expected 7.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -2 pts
No price · entry 98.4¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.4¢ · $29.3k WHALE $29.3K @ 98.4¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $23.6k0% Melqui165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.0k0% ComingBack165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $42.7k
2.1× usual
0% e88888166d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.6k0% Z67166d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $86.0k
2.4× usual
0% refzer166d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% 0xb11a…3ae9166d agoexcluded