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+$1,274No · avg 94.8¢ → 97.8¢ · $42.9k−$11No · avg 90¢ → 90¢ · $1,899
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +3.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+3.6 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$644.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±13.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$26.1k
Last 30 days +$977 · $2.98M volume · 1,225 trades · since Mar 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$24.8k
Open P&L · 5 positions
+$1,210
Closed-position win rate
95%
64 closed
Wallet age · markets
213d
67 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +3.6 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4b2fe2…