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What this means. A wallet put $38.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.1k
BUY No @ 96.8¢ · 39,385 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet refzer took No (buy) for $38.1k at an average 96.8¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3072American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.8¢
- Implied odds
- 96.8%
- Size
- $38.1k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 10:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- refzer
- Tx
- 0x4f779fd9…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+3.6 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsNo price · entry 96.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $16.5k | called |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 91.8¢ | $23.3k | called |