← Wallets
+$245No · avg 88¢ → 97.8¢ · $2,411−$16Yes · avg 60¢ → 60¢ · $1,410+$323No · avg 72¢ → 96.1¢ · $1,280+$227No · avg 76¢ → 94.5¢ · $1,170 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$1,336Yes · avg 88¢ → 38¢ · $1,012+$92No · avg 85¢ → 95.7¢ · $802+$46No · avg 91.2¢ → 97¢ · $774−$282Over · avg 62¢ → 44¢ · $716
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$112.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$97.9k
Last 30 days +$1,135 · $6.19M volume · 11,255 trades · since Jan 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$159.4k
Open P&L · 40 positions
−$13.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
286d
801 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
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