Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Not No | $3.38M 91 flags |
$62.6k 1 wallet |
none |
| No | $2.99M 95 flags |
$995.7k 5 wallets |
none |
| Yes | $293.8k 20 flags |
$35.8k 2 wallets |
$28.1k 1 wallet |
| Not Yes | $220.4k 12 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $256.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $57.6k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $86.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $33.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $103.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $111.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $28.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $51.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $50.3k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $155.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $115.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $42.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $116.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $210.7k 8.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $68.2k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $138.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $39.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $53.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $64.3k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $41.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $298.1k 12.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $73.6k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $136.5k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $31.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $44.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $100.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $89.6k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $48.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.2¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $15.2k | called |
| HIGH SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $40.2k 2.2× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $11.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.4¢ | $24.5k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $27.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $64.5k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $114.5k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 97¢ | $64.3k 2.7× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $13.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $19.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $15.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $14.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $12.6k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 95¢ | $81.4k 3.0× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $14.1k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $47.0k | called |
| HIGH SELL No @ 93¢ | $28.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $20.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $10.3k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $56.3k 3.1× usual |
called |
| MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $28.2k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 93.8¢ | $94.5k 2.6× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $11.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 90¢ | $32.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 91.6¢ | $44.7k 2.4× usual |
called |
| MED SELL No @ 89¢ | $80.6k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $27.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $22.5k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 88¢ | $83.0k 3.9× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $14.9k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $20.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $20.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 82¢ | $22.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $30.5k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 70¢ | $21.1k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $13.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 72¢ | $14.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $11.6k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 76¢ | $10.1k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 77¢ | $11.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 75¢ | $18.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $28.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 23¢ | $10.3k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 27¢ | $11.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $19.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $10.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $17.1k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 70¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $15.5k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 63¢ | $10.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $23.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 32¢ | $12.8k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $11.3k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $19.5k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 40¢ | $13.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $11.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $13.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $11.9k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 64¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 63¢ | $29.4k 2.2× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $18.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $14.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $14.5k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 53¢ | $15.8k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $46.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 47¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $11.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $12.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $34.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 72¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 72¢ | $13.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $15.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 72¢ | $21.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $15.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $13.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 26¢ | $11.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $18.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 76¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 76¢ | $19.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 24¢ | $24.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $10.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $30.4k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $11.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $18.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $11.9k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 84¢ | $17.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $20.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $17.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $12.6k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 76¢ | $51.3k 2.1× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 76¢ | $10.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $10.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 76¢ | $17.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $10.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $23.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $11.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $16.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $10.4k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 218 whale trades on this market totalling $6.88M from 134 wallets. The largest was $298.1k (buy No at 99.6¢). Most whale money ($3.38M) went against No. 107 of 218 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, GoriIIa ($367.2k), has called 32 of 34 graded flags overall (+12.8 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30).