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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$322.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$17.3k
Last 30 days −$0 · $1.15M volume · 466 trades · since Apr 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$17.6k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$335
Closed-position win rate
90%
79 closed
Wallet age · markets
184d
82 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $42.7k | excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $10.6k | called |
 Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Lakers @ 98.8¢ | $32.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 90¢ | $32.0k | missed |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Celtics @ 79¢ | $29.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $33.5k | called |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 96.8¢ | $32.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 93¢ | $32.6k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $29.9k | called |
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