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alex1734

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$476.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$14.5k
Last 30 days −$5 · $948.2k volume · 244 trades · since Feb 21, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$15.6k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$1,010
Closed-position win rate
60%
30 closed
Wallet age · markets
245d
32 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $10.6k19% 132d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 85¢ $22.0k15% 134d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $35.0k79% 135d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 84¢ $20.6k16% 140d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $20.0k82% 141d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 83¢ $10.2k17% 142d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 91.4¢ $29.0k91% 154d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 95.2¢ $45.6k
2.2× usual
95% 155d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?MED SELL No @ 96.3¢ $28.6k4% 155d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 94.4¢ $28.0k94% 157d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 94.8¢ $19.6k5% 159d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ $28.1k2% 168d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 94.3¢ $27.0k94% 170d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 97¢ $18.7k3% 171d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $13.8k93% 173d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $22.4k0% 178d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ $11.0k97% 183d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 83¢ $20.8k17% 186d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 82¢ $22.6k18% 186d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 83¢ $11.8k17% 194d agomissed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ $18.6k4% 199d agomissed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 90.7¢ $12.6k91% 200d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?missed
SELL No @ 81¢$10.6k
LOW alex1734 · 132d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?missed
SELL No @ 85¢$22.0k
LOW alex1734 · 134d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?called
BUY No @ 79¢$35.0k
LOW alex1734 · 135d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?missed
SELL No @ 84¢$20.6k
LOW alex1734 · 140d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?called
BUY No @ 82¢$20.0k
LOW alex1734 · 141d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?missed
SELL No @ 83¢$10.2k
LOW alex1734 · 142d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?called
BUY No @ 91.4¢$29.0k
LOW alex1734 · 154d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?called
BUY No @ 95.2¢$45.6k
LOW alex1734 · 155d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?missed
SELL No @ 96.3¢$28.6k
MED alex1734 · 155d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?called
BUY No @ 94.4¢$28.0k
LOW alex1734 · 157d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?missed
SELL No @ 94.8¢$19.6k
LOW alex1734 · 159d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
SELL No @ 98.2¢$28.1k
LOW alex1734 · 168d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?called
BUY No @ 94.3¢$27.0k
LOW alex1734 · 170d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?missed
SELL No @ 97¢$18.7k
LOW alex1734 · 171d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?called
BUY No @ 93¢$13.8k
LOW alex1734 · 173d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$22.4k
LOW alex1734 · 178d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?called
BUY No @ 96.7¢$11.0k
LOW alex1734 · 183d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?missed
SELL No @ 83¢$20.8k
LOW alex1734 · 186d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?missed
SELL No @ 82¢$22.6k
LOW alex1734 · 186d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?missed
SELL No @ 83¢$11.8k
LOW alex1734 · 194d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?missed
SELL No @ 96.5¢$18.6k
LOW alex1734 · 199d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?called
BUY No @ 90.7¢$12.6k
LOW alex1734 · 200d ago

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