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What this means. A wallet put $18.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.7k
SELL No @ 97¢ · 19,321 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet alex1734 took No (sell) for $18.7k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97¢
- Implied odds
- 3.0%
- Size
- $18.7k
- Placed
- May 06, 03:56 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- alex1734
- Tx
- 0xa8c7e00b…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -3 ptsNo price · entry 97¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.9k | excluded |