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What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
$13.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 13,031 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet elmcap2 took No (buy) for $13.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$13.0k
Placed
May 19, 10:42 EDT
Market close
May 14, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
elmcap2
Tx
0xd200ac35…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+3.7 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $47.2k
2.1× usual
0% Gleaming-Pear158d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $26.4k100% Gleaming-Pear159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.8k0% 0xd165…f2b8159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $37.8k
2.1× usual
0% MisTKy PROVEN159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.9k0% Dafu0715159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $28.6k100% tphhh160d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$47.2k
LOW Gleaming-Pear · 158d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$26.4k
LOW Gleaming-Pear · 159d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$17.8k
LOW 0xd165…f2b8 · 159d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$37.8k
LOW PROVEN MisTKy · 159d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$60.9k
LOW Dafu0715 · 159d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$28.6k
LOW tphhh · 160d ago