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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 23% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
BUY Yes @ 23¢ · 46,516 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 99problems123 took Yes (buy) for $10.7k at an average 23¢. At that price the market implied a 23% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 23¢ means
23%chance the market gave
+335American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 23¢
- Implied odds
- 23.0%
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 11:22 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 99problems123
- Tx
- 0xc40c2b7d…
This wallet's graded record
1/8-20.0 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |