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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$84.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$2,141
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.92M volume · 569 trades · since Mar 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$12.1k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$1,431
Closed-position win rate
84%
44 closed
Wallet age · markets
229d
42 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
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