← Wallets
−$26.8kNo · avg 69¢ → 1.8¢ · $700
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -2.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-2.4 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$47.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$723
Last 30 days −$4,341 · $355.9k volume · 27 trades · since Feb 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$30.7k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$31.8k
Closed-position win rate
90%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
246d
14 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | -2.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $14.8k | missed |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ | $15.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc89dc6…