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What this means. A wallet put $15.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?called
$15.5k
SELL Yes @ 29¢ · 53,778 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet VladimirPooper took Yes (sell) for $15.5k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
29¢
Implied odds
71.1%
Size
$15.5k
Placed
Apr 18, 07:53 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
VladimirPooper
Tx
0x203576a7…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+7.2 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +29 pts
Yes price · entry 29¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 29¢ · $15.5k WHALE $15.5K @ 29¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $23.6k0% Melqui165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.0k0% ComingBack165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $42.7k
2.1× usual
0% e88888165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.6k0% Z67166d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $86.0k
2.4× usual
0% refzer166d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% 0xb11a…3ae9166d agoexcluded