← Wallets
+$116No · avg 94.4¢ → 95¢ · $18.0k−$5,466Yes · avg 18¢ → 14¢ · $16.4k−$259Yes · avg 24¢ → 22¢ · $1,884−$12No · avg 84¢ → 80¢ · $215−$9Yes · avg 7¢ → 5.5¢ · $32
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +7.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+7.2 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$138.7k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$82.4k
Last 30 days −$83 · $3.10M volume · 661 trades · since Feb 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$85.8k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$3,395
Closed-position win rate
38%
24 closed
Wallet age · markets
255d
31 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 2 | 0.9 | +37.0 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -82.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ | $31.5k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ | $41.1k 2.7× usual |
missed |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $15.5k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $10.4k | missed |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $20.0k | missed |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $10.2k | called |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $10.0k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xa53e8fc4c2f9910e584de69d8b40a502a638218d"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xa53e8fc4c2f9910e584de69d8b40a502a638218d.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa53e8f…