D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House+$74Yes · avg 66¢ → 66¢ · $18.3k · 2 proven with, 0 against Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$3,828No · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $10.3k Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?+$327Yes · avg 90.5¢ → 97¢ · $4,850 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?+$157No · avg 70¢ → 72¢ · $4,833 · 1 proven with, 0 against Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?+$306No · avg 92.7¢ → 99¢ · $4,824 Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?+$266No · avg 88¢ → 93.5¢ · $4,539 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?+$1,228Yes · avg 64¢ → 94.5¢ · $3,793 · 1 proven with, 0 against Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?+$945Yes · avg 66¢ → 90.6¢ · $3,527

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$71.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$63.1k

Last 30 days −$4,624 · $12.32M volume · 42,172 trades · since Apr 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$201.6k

Open P&L · 385 positions

−$860

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

206d

3219 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$29.9k 2.0× usual	1%	143d ago	excluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢	$11.8k	3%	160d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$17.5k	0%	176d ago	excluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$11.9k	0%	185d ago	excluded

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$29.9k

LOW D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A · 143d ago

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

SELL No @ 96.6¢$11.8k

LOW D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A · 160d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$17.5k

LOW D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A · 176d ago

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$11.9k

LOW D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A · 185d ago

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