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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+6.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$131.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,031
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.16M volume · 3,619 trades · since Jan 01, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$16.9k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$10.9k
Closed-position win rate
68%
161 closed
Wallet age · markets
296d
151 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $18.8k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $44.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $38.4k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x766130…