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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$86.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$13.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $372.5k volume · 189 trades · since Mar 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$13.8k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
76%
41 closed
Wallet age · markets
236d
41 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 95.6¢ | $30.5k 2.6× usual |
missed |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $23.9k 2.0× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2fee97…