← Wallets
+$270No · avg 78¢ → 91.5¢ · $1,830 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$25No · avg 77¢ → 80¢ · $625+$10No · avg 87¢ → 91.5¢ · $210 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$17Yes · avg 86¢ → 78¢ · $183+$1Yes · avg 94.8¢ → 96.2¢ · $100−$4Yes · avg 88¢ → 84¢ · $96+$8No · avg 66¢ → 88¢ · $30
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +1.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+1.9 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$388.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±11.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,101
Last 30 days +$626 · $4.21M volume · 3,723 trades · since Apr 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$98.6k
Open P&L · 14 positions
−$2,567
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
548d
1930 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 4 | 2 | 1.9 | +1.9 pts |
History
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