{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb8e6ba11bcb67b35faa34c9346f25c0cb7d16508562f1237f2e45f3b3f5cfd82:1","id":"trade:0xb8e6ba11bcb67b35faa34c9346f25c0cb7d16508562f1237f2e45f3b3f5cfd82:1","implied":0.015649471699999973,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9843505283,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1782680468,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":11135.603160467712,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf0929d2408820baf543dea58b0dc8a257b9ec0659ec0271b305e8bb14f622dcb:1","id":"trade:0xf0929d2408820baf543dea58b0dc8a257b9ec0659ec0271b305e8bb14f622dcb:1","implied":0.9305836868,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9305836868,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1782384452,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":19999.999989793367,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xffafbb2cb465d42a30e0349659f78639769eacf05615dedd16ff250c8b2a15a8:1","id":"trade:0xffafbb2cb465d42a30e0349659f78639769eacf05615dedd16ff250c8b2a15a8:1","implied":0.06000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.94,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1781966180,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":12727.035999999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa90cf353e35af7fee8930d8de38bb6f65dc55c0ec91ebc2e83f7715cef71a99e:1","id":"trade:0xa90cf353e35af7fee8930d8de38bb6f65dc55c0ec91ebc2e83f7715cef71a99e:1","implied":0.8692824652,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8692824652,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1781797990,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":16985.25780052888,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x83c095645c52b9ee15519d94fce4df4f3c25a40b95df047417af920ec02e8983:0","id":"trade:0x83c095645c52b9ee15519d94fce4df4f3c25a40b95df047417af920ec02e8983:0","implied":0.9513304347,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9513304347,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1781514802,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?","usd":22999.999997174495,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2902b2a4a1e52a8486b5568401aedd4a53bca0138ea5303d997ef22ac7bdcec7:0","id":"trade:0x2902b2a4a1e52a8486b5568401aedd4a53bca0138ea5303d997ef22ac7bdcec7:0","implied":0.1377724695000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8622275304999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781509104,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":17244.55061,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6505ee06352a00d1f16c92c6ba027a5537595a257d638b46416ec5125bad7924:0","id":"trade:0x6505ee06352a00d1f16c92c6ba027a5537595a257d638b46416ec5125bad7924:0","implied":0.8616192224,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8616192224,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781507094,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":22999.99999986843,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x25b12d9964206bda7dac56da463e32f582cc9ed6853947297ded4e54a5cdd668:1","id":"trade:0x25b12d9964206bda7dac56da463e32f582cc9ed6853947297ded4e54a5cdd668:1","implied":0.992,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.992,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780425794,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":27999.9999984,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe2aeedb1ed42efe7b4716dfc79d1df6fae1df9fa80de7935f1c81fb5b9e2cd69:1","id":"trade:0xe2aeedb1ed42efe7b4716dfc79d1df6fae1df9fa80de7935f1c81fb5b9e2cd69:1","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778962195,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":16999.9999983,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd3361218d0944acfec072533fcd8e1277f3fd1b5c15ef6a39b484239cb1b2786:1","id":"trade:0xd3361218d0944acfec072533fcd8e1277f3fd1b5c15ef6a39b484239cb1b2786:1","implied":0.03394266980000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9660573302,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1776957294,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","usd":13480.595839370048,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x4f7faa55b26773289b8253c2cb587a8bf880f083c79963076e524c599d03efda","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x11069203e632d81f7088f7f320b1382724c9769055a613961f8bbedcd48489e5:1","id":"trade:0x11069203e632d81f7088f7f320b1382724c9769055a613961f8bbedcd48489e5:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771472540,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?","usd":12915.659998413,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0xda368e1f843931105e33e4d00c06e20f962ffc233389b8df15f53efc9d3d2984","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x20889735f00ea292162f148d03beffecd2e693ef425a5142328760e17e40ebb6:1","id":"trade:0x20889735f00ea292162f148d03beffecd2e693ef425a5142328760e17e40ebb6:1","implied":0.9706470820999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9706470820999998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770656221,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?","usd":34999.99999700886,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x6bbdeb8773a1470ba1053959a446bb0912b38f6091c8794583612bfa76a81a15","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6cc00bec413bafdebfa7ac4222f7a96d4950b2e0659935c42f0d39717eacfe0b:1","id":"trade:0x6cc00bec413bafdebfa7ac4222f7a96d4950b2e0659935c42f0d39717eacfe0b:1","implied":0.9890587708,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9890587708,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770376875,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?","usd":21999.999992837842,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x5abe3287197d0a924707ce99130643c92751c209fc0e376c6700d6673b43ada5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x143aba024b33f1f903c9851059f91abcec854b4afb3203415a6d21a34b5ef116:1","id":"trade:0x143aba024b33f1f903c9851059f91abcec854b4afb3203415a6d21a34b5ef116:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770117814,"title":"Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?","usd":19999.99998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x5abe3287197d0a924707ce99130643c92751c209fc0e376c6700d6673b43ada5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc5a3a39f1b2e6181d31dcc3e4335010f9532c488214bd747f2a841d9a1d6e61d:1","id":"trade:0xc5a3a39f1b2e6181d31dcc3e4335010f9532c488214bd747f2a841d9a1d6e61d:1","implied":0.980440303,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.980440303,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770033842,"title":"Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?","usd":14999.999957567334,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3e2de92796e80742da9d142f330353cd39c6e0e8676b3650b4c322e4356d0694:1","id":"trade:0x3e2de92796e80742da9d142f330353cd39c6e0e8676b3650b4c322e4356d0694:1","implied":0.9937527103,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9937527103,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769848950,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":29999.999922947747,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x76a213c1f24dd30025a9f20355341a7a0fefcf1499b7c015ebd8493f55794d7a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x489bf72e39b0472263b37fcc2d6054e472f1dd6b8351e6ac80b49ea21b7b9c81:1","id":"trade:0x489bf72e39b0472263b37fcc2d6054e472f1dd6b8351e6ac80b49ea21b7b9c81:1","implied":0.03735788250000016,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9626421174999998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1769335568,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?","usd":16655.759060460274,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x76a213c1f24dd30025a9f20355341a7a0fefcf1499b7c015ebd8493f55794d7a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf333dc4b8d39331420cbb583e63eb8ee8022b9809cf5ea2cfd4b92c610990256:1","id":"trade:0xf333dc4b8d39331420cbb583e63eb8ee8022b9809cf5ea2cfd4b92c610990256:1","implied":0.9048613602,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9048613602,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769272036,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?","usd":11999.999991050476,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x77b9b065f487d1e18d005465d221ec6c84ed3babfaf6ecf62f20baeaa9fc3038","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x87eb23e8649080b2a3ba488965907aff9218dc6badd1b2c9857bc77c7ef7c4ec:1","id":"trade:0x87eb23e8649080b2a3ba488965907aff9218dc6badd1b2c9857bc77c7ef7c4ec:1","implied":0.03913149739999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9608685026,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768751454,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?","usd":12015.03606048631,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"},{"condition_id":"0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd9573f29bbb60b4a3cd3f618571eec16dad5f557eff3474483fed9633a9ade05:1","id":"trade:0xd9573f29bbb60b4a3cd3f618571eec16dad5f557eff3474483fed9633a9ade05:1","implied":0.9950237888,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9950237888,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767276345,"title":"Will Eleven die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?","usd":29999.999998453364,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"}],"record":{"called":2,"edge":0.018898849524999983,"exp_rate":0.481101150475,"expected":1.9244046019,"hit":0.5,"n":4,"se":0.11365837710866031},"wallet":"0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2"}