← Wallets
−$3,581No · avg 30¢ → 22¢ · $9,530−$1,508Yes · avg 9.2¢ → 7¢ · $4,689+$91No · avg 86¢ → 88¢ · $4,388+$1,004No · avg 47¢ → 64¢ · $3,778+$83No · avg 84¢ → 86¢ · $3,067+$95No · avg 83¢ → 86¢ · $2,767+$417No · avg 36¢ → 42¢ · $2,700+$44No · avg 83¢ → 86¢ · $1,895
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -25.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-25.3 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$650.5k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$186.6k
Last 30 days −$17.8k · $55.83M volume · 75,074 trades · since Jan 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.14M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$653.4k
Closed-position win rate
80%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
275d
864 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 0 | 0.8 | -25.3 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfc2f4f…